Mike Gesicki ‘Philm Study’ Bodes Well for 2019

A lot was expected of Mike Gesicki in his rookie season… So what about 2019?

The Miami Dolphins haven’t had quality production from the Tight End position in ages. So when the Phins drafted Mike Gesicki last year, the hope was that this weakness would finally become a strength.

Unfortunately, for a host of reasons, Gesicki underwhelmed in 2018. Chirps of ‘bust’ started to surface early this offseason.

So, what does the film really say about Gesicki’s 2018 Season…

… and his future?

Last season I spent little time going over Gesicki’s tape because the disaster of Miami’s run defense and the offensive line had me fixated on it like a terrible wreck in progress. I just could not take my eyes off no matter how hard I tried. So, going into this ‘Philm study’, I had a load of preconceptions generated from memories and from what I had read in the offseason. As my perception wasn’t generated from a close look at the tape, I quickly realized early into the study that much of what I thought of Gesicki was off base… beyond his blocking that is.

After watching every snap of Gesicki where the ball went his way (catch or otherwise), it was clear his season wasn’t the flop it felt like. In fact, there’s a lot to be excited about… if Jim Caldwell and Offensive Coordinator Chad O’Shea can even be a little more thoughtful in using Gesicki than Adam Gase was in 2018.

Context to consider on judging Gesicki’s 2018 Season

Tight End is a notoriously difficult position to have success at during a rookie campaign.
For a whopping 19.5 % of pass plays, Gesicki was kept in as a blocker. Compare this to the best blocking TE in the league Gronk at 13.3%. A starker contrast is between fellow rookies Hayden Hurst and Mark Andrews at 3% and 1.7% respectively.
Gesicki had the 32nd worst QBR rated passer in Tannehill and
Over his 22 catches, he was only targeted 32 times with zero drops. This means nearly 1/3 of his targets were uncatchable.

Here’s a close examination of Geicki’s limited snaps as a receiver in 2018

In 2019, Gesicki will benefit from a host of positives that will bump up his production. I expect a quality sophomore campaign from Geicki.

Love Fitzpatrick and Rosen or not, they are an absolute upgrade in accuracy and at going through progressions. Fitzpatrick is especially trusting in his receivers. He has always given them a chance to make a play on the ball with a “50/50” throw. While this sometimes comes back to bite Fitzpatrick, he throws his receivers open as well. This wasn’t the case with Miami’s 2018 QBs. Given 33% of his targets were uncatchable in 2018, it’s a good bet with the pay per head bookie sites that Gesicki’s production rises this season.

Despite the pedestrian stats, there’s nothing that screams bust in his film. Gesicki isn’t a dominant player like Gronk who can enforce his will on defense… and he ha flaws. But, he has a strong skill set, and if put in situations that allow him to use these assets, then he will make an impact in 2019.

How great that impact is will largely be determined by the staff’s thoughtfulness, the QBs use of his high-point talents, and his ability to improve as a blocker. If he can learn to be an effective blocker, then he won’t get pegged as a receiver and can be schemed free for vertical chunk plays…

… And even a handful of those types of plays turns a stat sheet from ‘plain Jane’ to a ‘blonde bombshell’! Go Phins!!!

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