While it’s still far off, everything is pointing to Week 1
Miami is being picked as a favorite at home Week 1
The first week of the 2017 NFL Season is still 3 months away. However, things are going to start moving very fast, and the season will be starting before we know it.
The money guys already have the first week of the season odds up for each game. So even though it’s still early, the line for the Miami Dolphins first game has already been making some interesting moves.
The Dolphins host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to start the season on Sunday, September 10th at 1 pm. This is the first time the Dolphins will have a home opener on week 1 since the 2014 season when they beat the New England Patriots 33-20. There is always an advantage for Miami to open the season at home, especially when you have the intensely-hot, Miami sun. However, the sun will not be as huge advantage this time around, because they, unfortunately, are playing another Florida team in the Bucs that is just as used to playing in the Florida summer heat.
Some of the best football software oddsmakers opened up the week 1 NFL lines as early as April 22nd and the Dolphins opened up as a -2.5 point favorite.
Generally, the public waits until the last minute to make wagers, which means the bulk of the wagering is not going to be done until the week of the first game in early September. However, the sharp and professional bettors in the world are the ones making wagers now, because they see a discrepancy in the line based on the high-brow formulas they use.
Dolphins aren’t getting much respect in Week 1
Let’s remember, they get it wrong sometimes–not often, but they do have misses.
2016 was one of those misses–a big one.
Still, they do have the advantage or they’d be out of business.
So here’s there take on Week 1:
Bucs immediately got hit at +2.5, and the line quickly dropped down to -2 for the Dolphins. This occurred because the sharp bettors believe that the +2.5 for the Buccaneers was too high. But this move down in the point spread has not stopped at -2, and now it is currently down to -1 for the Dolphins, and there are currently 4 times as many bets on the Bucs compared to the Dolphins. A point and half (1.5) is a pretty significant move on a football game, and unfortunately, it’s going against the Dolphins. There’s still plenty of time before the game actually kicks off, so the line could still do any number of things including bumping back up to -2.5 points or even higher for the Dolphins. Also, key injuries that will have an impact on this spread, based on pay per head reviewsites.
The bottom line–at the moment at least–is once again people are betting against the Dolphins, and nobody besides the actual fans, players, and organization have any faith in this team being able to replicate their winning performance from last season. Can Adam Gase and Co. beat the odds again? If they do, they might get the title of dragon slayers, because this season will be dramatically more difficult to pull off the upset. What are the rest of the Miami Dolphins News fans’ thoughts about the movement in the line on the Dolphin’s first game against the Bucs?
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