Dolphin Player Props
With the NFL season quickly approaching, phins fans around the world are getting excited to see if this year’s team can actually perform well enough to make the playoffs. A big factor that will help the Dolphins make the playoffs is the performance of the offense. If the offense led by Ryan Tannehill can score points consistently, then there is a good chance that the Dolphins can achieve their goal of making the playoffs.
There was an interesting article in the Miami Herald, where Armando Salguero posted some player props from one of the best sportsbooks on the internet. The below numbers are what the best sportsbooks in the world think the accurate predictions are for the following offensive players.
Ryan Tannehill – Total Passing Yards in the 2014 Regular Season
Over/Under 3900
Ryan Tannehill – Total Passing Touchdowns in the 2014 Regular Season
Over/Under 23 ½
Ryan Tannehill – Total Interceptions in the 2014 Regular Season
Over/Under 14 ½
Mike Wallace – Total Receiving Yards in the 2014 Regular Season
Over/Under 950 ½
Mike Wallace – Total Receiving Touchdowns in the 2014 Regular Season
Over/Under 6
Brian Hartline – Total Receiving Yards in the 2014 Regular Season
Over/Under 875 ½
Brian Hartline – Total Receiving Touchdowns in the 2014 Regular Season
Over/Under 3 ½
Charles Clay – Total Receiving Yards in the 2014 Regular Season
Over/Under 625 ½
Charles Clay – Total Receiving Touchdowns in the 2014 Regular Season
Over/Under 5
I know I am completely biased but when I look at these numbers I feel like each of these players can go over their totals. The receiver numbers seem to be the most accurate, but the QB numbers seem to be on the low side. Tannehill has better weapons this year, and should have better protection, so I would think he can put up better numbers than last year. These lines are basically saying that Tannehill is not going to improve from last season. For starters, Vegas and ESPN are always down on the Phins, so it is not a mystery that the Dolphins player prop lines are forecasting sub par play.
Mike Wallace’s numbers seem very close to the correct prediction. He should hover very close to a 1000 yards and since the long ball seems to still be an issue, the 6 touchdowns is going be very close to correct amount.
Brian Hartline has had two consecutive 1000 yard receiving seasons, and with a lot of talented receivers on the team, I believe that his numbers will actually decline. I would probably say that his yards number will be lower, and his touchdown number is going to be either 3 or 4.
In regards to Charles Clay, I think it only boils down to his health. If he can stay healthy then he should be able to easily surpass these numbers. The best sportsbooks are saying that Clay is going to regress from last year’s break out season. Again the only way I see this happening is if Clay is not healthy enough to play 16 games. He has proven that he has very good chemistry with Tannehill, and another season together should only make this connection stronger.
What is everyone’s thoughts on the over/under on these player prop numbers?
It would be great if football were played by so-called skill positions only, but it is not. We have a serious problem with the offensive line. The line provide the skill players with the time they need to run patterns and throw or catch the ball. Linemen create gaps in the defense so that running backs can advance the ball. The bulk of the offensive penalties come from holding – usually by linemen or backs who have to act as a band aid when linemen get beat. Pouncey won’t be back for at least 4 weeks and he won’t be in playing shape for at least 6 weeks. so for the first 6 games, we will be playing with a center we cut a couple of years ago, a left guard that needs help and a right guard who failed at center. The skill players have an uphill battle. Let’s help them out by trading Jordan for a starting guard.